Progreso Peñarol betting prediction

This is the first match in this edition of the competition for the home team, that ended the previous edition of the lower division in the 16^th position and got the promotion. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 draws and 10 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away draw against Belgrano by (0‑0). Progreso has won 2, tied 4 and lost 4 of the last 10 home matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 8 of the last 18 have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 3 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Progreso are coming off a very poor campaign in the 2024 Clausura. At the bottom of the table, the team knows that it will have to raise its level on the pitch if it wants to compete for something bigger in the Apertura this time around. They'll be playing at home in this round, but if they want to score, they'll have to put in a faultless performance against the mighty Peñarol, who are coming off the back of an undisputed title.

Confirmed Lineup: N. Suárez, Joel Poiso, L. Maldonado, Mauro Martín, Facundo Silvera, Mario García, Gonzalo Silva, Adrián Colombino, Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales, N. González, Nicolás Fernández.
Coach: C. Canobbio Bentaberry.