Almería Málaga betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this clash will be a good result for the home team. Almería play in their best condition, having lost only once and is looking to recover in the competition. Málaga, on the other hand, play in their worst condition, having scored most of their goals but also conceded the majority. We expect an open game, dominated by the home team, but with chances for goals for both sides. Therefore, betting on Almería to score at least two goals in the match seems to be a good alternative.
There are more free betting tips, see ALL future tips available!
Preview
Almería and Málaga face at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in a match for the 29th round of the Segunda División. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 08‑12‑2024, these teams have tied (1‑1). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 04‑09‑2021, in a match for the Segunda División, Almería won by (2‑0). The goals of the match were scored by U. Sadiq (51' ) and Chumi (58' ) for Almería. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Málaga presents significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Almería

After 12 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 6th position, havinf won 45 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Sporting Gijón by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Elche. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. For the league, Almería won 22 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins and 4 draws in the last 10 home matches.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 draws in the last home matches and they haven't lost any of the last 11 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (5 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 13 home matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 9 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Almería are in freefall in the Liga Adelante, without a win in seven rounds, drawing 1-1 away to Sporting Gijón in the last round, with a goal by Luis Javier Suárez. In a 4-3-3 tactical formation, the team rely on the firepower of Luis Suárez, Léo Baptistão and Sergio Arribas, a trio that imposes an intense rhythm in attack. Suárez stands out as the main goalscorer, using his eye for goal to overcome rival defenses. In the middle, Nico Melamed takes control of the formation, distributing decisive passes and accelerating plays to enhance the offensive actions. Defender Kaiky is suspended and is confirmed to be out of the next match.

Confirmed Lineup: Luis Maximiano, Alejandro Pozo, Aleksandar Radovanović, Álex Centelles, Edgar González, Marc Pubill Pagès, Silvi Clua Oya, Dion Lopy, Sergio Arribas, Luis Javier Suárez, Léo Baptistão.
Coach: J. Mel Pérez.

Analysis Málaga

The away team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 38 points won, after 8 wins, 14 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against FC Cartagena, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Tenerife, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Málaga has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (8 out of 14 matches) and after the 90' 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Málaga are recovering in the Liga Adelante, having beaten Tenerife 1-0 at home in the last round, with a goal scored by Dani Sánchez. Normally playing in a 4-4-2 tactical formation, Antonio Cordero and Dioni lead the attacking sector with great harmony, alternating between precise finishes and participation in the build-up of plays. The duo plays a fundamental role in the attack, directly contributing to a significant portion of the team's goals and keeping the opposing defense under constant pressure. Right winger Haitam Abaida and midfielder Dani Lorenzo remain in the medical department and are doubtful for the next match.

Confirmed Lineup: Alfonso Herrero, Alex Pastor, Dani Sánchez, Puga, Nélson Monte, Aarón Ochoa Moloney, Luismi Sánchez, Ramón Enríquez, Carlos Ruiz Rubio, Kevin Villodres, Julen Lobete.
Coach: J. Mel Pérez.

There are more free betting tips, see ALL future tips available! NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Almería vs Málaga match, on 1 March 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Almería to score over 1,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Almería vs Málaga on 1 March 2025 will be played at Almeria, Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos.

 

Segunda División - 2024/2025

  • 100% 466 / 466 Games

  • Home team wins 46.14%
  • Draws 28.11%
  • Away team wins 25.75%
  • Over 1.5 68.67%
  • Over 2.5 48.5%
  • Over 3.5 29.4%
  • Goals 1185
  • Goals /match 2.54
  • Goals /match home 1.46
  • Goals /match away 1.09
  • Both teams score 53.43%
  • Goals after 80' 21.52%
View all
No tv schedule yet for US (change)

Search Tips