Nacional Cruzeiro betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This duel marks the meeting between two teams that occupy very different roles within South American football. While Cruzeiro is one of the most successful Brazilian clubs in international competition, with two Copa Libertadores titles, two South American Super Cup titles and one of the South American Cup Winners, Nacional Asuncion had its climax in 2014, when it was vice champion of Copa Libertadores. This shows the difference in experience between clubs in competitions like this. However, this disparity was not very visible in the first leg, with Cruzeiro having a minimal advantage over the Paraguayans, which can be easily reversed. Thus, we expect a balanced game, the draw being a good betting option, but with favoritism for the Brazilians.
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Preview
Nacional Asunción and Cruzeiro face , in a 2nd leg match for the Copa Sudamericana (1st Round), after the (2‑1) home win by Cruzeiro in the 1st leg match. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Nacional Asunción presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis Nacional

Despite the 1 goal disadvantage from the 1st leg match, the home team has the advantage of having scored 1 goal in the away first leg match. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away draw against Sportivo Trinidense by (1‑1). Nacional Asunción has won 3, tied 3 and lost 4 of the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 19 of the last 19 have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 14 out of 19 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Nacional Asuncion plays their seventeenth appearance in 2017, their first game against their fans in this edition of the Copa Sudamericana, trying to maintain the good performance that has been showing in the last matches of the Paraguayan Championship to reverse the advantage built by the Brazilians in the first leg. The team lives their best moment of the year as they have not lost three rounds and have won three of their last five games. As principal, the team have played seven games since the beginning of the year, accumulating four defeats, two draws and just one win. For this game, the coach should keep the team in 4-4-1-1 or in 4-4-2.

Confirmed Lineup: Santiago Rojas, Víctor Dávalos, Rodrigo Rojo, Herminio Miranda Ovelar, Miguel Jacquet, Jonathan Santana, Miguel Paniagua, Francisco García, Leonardo Villagra Enciso, Juan Salgueiro, Adam Bareiro.
Coach: P. Sarabia Achucarro.

Analysis Cruzeiro

The away team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 1 goal, but has suffered 1 goal at home in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the Mineiro 1, they got an away loss against Atlético Mineiro by (2‑1). In the last 10 away matches Cruzeiro has won 6, tied 3 and lost 1. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Cruzeiro enters the field for its twenty-seventh game this year, marking the first away game in this edition of the South American Cup, and comes a little shaken after losing the Mineiro Championship to their biggest rival, Atletico -MG. In the first leg of the continental tournament, when they played in front of their fans, Cruzeiro took a minimal advantage and suffered a home goal, which could complicate their classification for the next phase. As a visitor, the Brazilian team has played twelve matches in 2017, accumulating seven wins, four draws and one defeat. For this confrontation, the coach should keep the team in the 4-2-3-1, with Abila standing out in the offensive sector.

Confirmed Lineup: Rafael, Mayke, Diogo Barbosa, Léo, Luis Caicedo, Rafinha, Hudson, Giorgian de Arrascaeta , Thiago Neves, Ramón Ábila.
Coach: H. Pacheco de Lima, F. Diniz Silva.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Nacional vs Cruzeiro match, on 11 May 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Double chance, Draw or Cruzeiro ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Nacional vs Cruzeiro on 11 May 2017 will be played at Asunción, Estadio Defensores del Chaco.

 

Copa Sudamericana - 2017

  • 100% 106 / 106 Games

  • Home team wins 53.77%
  • Draws 22.64%
  • Away team wins 23.58%
  • Over 1.5 67.92%
  • Over 2.5 42.45%
  • Over 3.5 23.58%
  • Goals 262
  • Goals /match 2.47
  • Goals /match home 1.56
  • Goals /match away 0.92
  • Both teams score 48.11%
  • Goals after 80' 15.27%
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