AVS Famalicão betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Famalicão are the favourites to win, even playing away at AFS. Given the circumstances, this preference is understandable, but it should be noted that Famalicão may take control of the game, creating a reversal of the usual home-and-away dynamics. If that happens, AFS could have more opportunities to achieve a positive result. Still, it is unlikely that Famalicão will take too many risks, especially during the first hour of the match. As such, this encounter could be more tactical, with fewer clear scoring chances, particularly given Famalicão’s solid defensive performances. Under 2.5 goals is a bet that fits well with this scenario.
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Preview
AVS and Famalicão face at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, in a match for the 4th round of the Primeira Liga. There are only 2 recent head‑to‑heads between these two teams: on 30‑03‑2025, which ended in a (4‑1) win by Famalicão, and another on 03‑11‑2024, which ended in a (2‑3) win by Famalicão. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since AVS presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis AVS

After 1 draw and 2 losses, the home team is in the 15th position and hasn't won any points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Sporting Braga by (2‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑2) at home, against Casa Pia. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches AVS has won 2, tied 2 and lost 6. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 16 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

AFS sit in 15th place, with just 1 point to their name, occupying the last “safe” spot in Liga Portugal. In fact, Nacional, who are in the first relegation position, have the same number of points as AFS. The season got off to a disappointing start with a 3-1 defeat away at Arouca, a result that fell short of expectations for the Avenses. The situation worsened in the second round, as they suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Casa Pia. It was only in the third match that José Mota’s side showed a reaction, unexpectedly earning a point at Sporting Braga, a team in great form at the time. Now, they welcome Famalicão, a side they lost 3-2 to in last season’s encounter.

Confirmed Lineup: Simão Verza Bertelli, Diogo Spencer, Aderllan Leandro de Jesus Santos, Guillem Molina Gutiérrez, Leonardo Rivas, Cristian David Castro Devenish, Jaume Grau Ciscar, Ángel Algobia Esteves, Rafael Avelino Pereira Pinto Barbosa, Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete, Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola.
Coach: J. Costa Almeida.

Analysis Famalicão

The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 7 points won, after 2 wins and 1 draw. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Tondela, by (0‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Gil Vicente, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Famalicão has won 4 and lost 6. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Famalicão have made a very strong start to the season, collecting 7 points from a possible 9, clearly reflecting the good form Hugo Oliveira’s side are enjoying. If the points tally alone is a solid indicator of a team’s momentum, their excellent start is further reinforced by the fact they have scored 4 goals and conceded none. Hugo Oliveira continues to do an outstanding job at the helm, and in their last match, the players’ frustration was evident after failing to find the net against Gil Vicente. Now, away at AFS, Famalicão will be looking to return to winning ways and maintain their strong start, aiming for a top-five finish.

Confirmed Lineup: Lazar Carević, Pedro Bondo, Justin de Haas, Léo Realpe, Rodrigo Pinheiro, Gustavo Sá , Marcos Peña, Mathias de Amorim, Sorriso, Simon Elisor, Pedro Santos.
Coach: I. Abreu Vieira.

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Primeira Liga - 2025/2026

  • 26% 81 / 307 Games

  • Home team wins 37.04%
  • Draws 25.93%
  • Away team wins 37.04%
  • Over 1.5 81.48%
  • Over 2.5 51.85%
  • Over 3.5 23.46%
  • Goals 211
  • Goals /match 2.6
  • Goals /match home 1.4
  • Goals /match away 1.21
  • Both teams score 43.21%
  • Goals after 80' 19.43%
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