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Alverca Famalicão betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Alverca enters this match almost desperate for a victory, as there is practically no margin for error. A draw would still be enough to stay above the water line, but we know how dangerous it is to play for that result. On the other side is a team with a lot of attacking quality, which needs to shake off the pressure and could find this game the ideal opportunity to respond. Therefore, and considering that Alverca has also been scoring goals at home, we must take into account the both teams to score market, which is offering very interesting odds.
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Preview
Alverca and Famalicão meet at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, in a match for the 17th round of the Primeira Liga. There is no recent record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams. The last head‑to‑head was played on 20‑11‑2021 and ended with the final score: Alverca (1‑2) Famalicão. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Alverca presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis Alverca

After 5 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 12th position, havinf won 17 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Estoril by (4‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑3) at home, against Porto. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Alverca has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 24 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 18 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 10 of their 27 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Alverca needs to react, and quickly, not only to the series of three consecutive defeats, but also to find greater consistency, otherwise it will always be struggling to escape relegation. It currently has 17 points, just three ahead of Arouca, which is the first team in the relegation zone. In the last round, the heavy defeat at António Coimbra da Mota (4-1) may have left its mark. Despite Famalicão being their next opponent, Alverca cannot look at names and urgently needs a victory, otherwise it will fall into a crisis of results and may even drop into the relegation zone this round.

Confirmed Lineup: André Nogueira Gomes, Bastien Meupiyou, Kaiky Marques Naves, Sergi Gómez Solà, Francisco Edgar Chissumba Rodrigues, Nabil Touaizi, Sabit Abdulai, Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho, Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos, Sandro Lima, Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi.
Coach: J. Alves Salazar.

Analysis Famalicão

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Benfica, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Estrela Amadora, by (2‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 7 away league matches Famalicão has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 12 points out of 21 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (4 out of 7 matches) and after the 90' 0‑1 (3 out of 7 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 16 of their 33 goals between minutes (46'‑60'); they have conceded 15 of their 32 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Hugo Oliveira's Famalicão had a very important match in the previous round, when they needed to prove to their fans that they had what it takes to be one of the best teams, just behind the big three. Until then, it had the mitigating factor that its defeats had been against the top teams, including Sporting de Braga. Therefore, the match against Estrela was one it had to win to prove itself to its fans. However, it failed miserably, losing 2-3, and was unable to maintain its good defensive performance, which was its biggest selling point. Now, they travel to Ribatejo to face Alverca, but confidence levels are certainly much lower, and doubt has set in among their fans, who now believe in a quiet season in terms of staying up, but little else.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Lazar Carević, Rafa Soares, Justin de Haas, Léo Realpe, Rodrigo Pinheiro, Tom van de Looi, Gustavo Sá , Mathias de Amorim, Sorriso, Yassir Zabiri, Antoine Joujou.
Coach: I. Abreu Vieira.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Alverca vs Famalicão match, on 4 January 2026, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Alverca vs Famalicão on 4 January 2026 will be played at Alverca do Ribatejo, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Kenya, for the Alverca Famalicão match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Famalicão at with 58% of the tips.

 

Primeira Liga - 2025/2026

  • 49% 151 / 307 Games

  • Home team wins 37.75%
  • Draws 27.15%
  • Away team wins 35.1%
  • Over 1.5 77.48%
  • Over 2.5 52.98%
  • Over 3.5 31.13%
  • Goals 410
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.44
  • Goals /match away 1.27
  • Both teams score 46.36%
  • Goals after 80' 16.34%
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