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Comerciantes Unidos UTC Cajamarca betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

In the clash between Comerciantes and UTC Cajamarca, the pressure to win is more evident on the home side, who are looking to bounce back in the Clausura and are expected to use home advantage to dictate the tempo. Considering Cajamarca’s attacking struggles and Comerciantes’ need to capitalise on their chances, backing a Comerciantes win looks like a promising option for this match.
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Preview
Comerciantes and UTC Cajamarca face at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, in a match for the 13th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history indicates total balance, since there is a record of 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 17‑05‑2025, and ended in a (2‑0) win by UTC Cajamarca. Although this is a match between 11th and 18th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 33th best in home matches and the 32th best in away matches.

Analysis Comerciantes

The home team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 12 points won, after 5 wins, 8 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Alianza Lima, by (4‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Melgar, by (1‑1). This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. For the league, Comerciantes won 10 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (9 out of 14 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (5 out of 14 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 9 of their last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 14 home matches for this competition: they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (61'‑75'); they have suffered 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Comerciantes came out of the previous round feeling they could have achieved more, but lacked precision at the crucial moments. The team can build promising attacking moves, yet struggles in the final third, where the fine details make all the difference. Now, facing UTC Cajamarca, the pressure is on to turn their play into goals. This clash represents a key opportunity to regain confidence. If they make the most of the chances they create, they have every chance of securing three points and reigniting their Clausura campaign.

Confirmed Lineup: Álvaro Villete, Williams Guzmán, Gabriel Alfaro, Rotceh Aguilar, Nahuel Tecilla, Gilmar Paredes, José Parodi, Julián Marchioni, José Marina, Alexander Lecaros, Matías Sen .
Coach: C. Silvestri Saux.

Analysis UTC Cajamarca

The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 7 points won, after 6 wins, 8 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Deportivo Garcilaso, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Los Chankas, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded at home, against 11 goals scored and 31 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches UTC Cajamarca has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 7 of the last 29 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 5 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead in 5. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 17 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

UTC Cajamarca are going through a difficult spell in the Clausura, stuck near the bottom of the table with worrying stats raising alarms. Their attack has been largely ineffective, failing to trouble opponents, while the defence continues to suffer from constant lapses, having conceded in every away game so far. This situation has come at a heavy cost and limits their chances of turning things around. Now, against Comerciantes, the team must make urgent adjustments. Fixing basic errors and gaining consistency could be key to securing valuable points and changing the course of their campaign.

Confirmed Lineup: Diego Campos, José Luján, Anthony Rosell, Luis Garro, Roberto Villamarín, André Vasquez, Freddy Oncoy, Piero Serra, Cristian Mejia, Juan Cruz Vega, Jarlin Quintero.
Coach: F. Navarro Monteiro.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Comerciantes vs UTC Cajamarca match, on 3 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Comerciantes wins ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Comerciantes vs UTC Cajamarca on 3 October 2025 will be played at Cutervo, Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.

Tipsters at Betting Academy Kenya are divided as for the surest bet for the Comerciantes UTC Cajamarca match, on the "match odds" market. All selections of this market have the same vote percentage. Share your tip and vote to break the tie!

 

Primera División - 2025

  • 91% 290 / 317 Games

  • Home team wins 48.62%
  • Draws 25.86%
  • Away team wins 25.52%
  • Over 1.5 73.45%
  • Over 2.5 50.34%
  • Over 3.5 26.55%
  • Goals 763
  • Goals /match 2.63
  • Goals /match home 1.61
  • Goals /match away 1.02
  • Both teams score 51.38%
  • Goals after 80' 20.58%
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