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TOP Oss ADO Den Haag betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

In this matchup of the 9th round of the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025, TOP Oss and ADO are both looking to end their winless streaks, which have lasted for 5 matches. TOP Oss comes from a recent draw after 4 consecutive losses, while ADO has recorded 3 draws after previously losing 2 matches. Given this context, we disagree with the excessive favoritism attributed to ADO, who has yet to win away from home and is currently the third-worst away team, having scored only 3 goals in 3 away matches. Therefore, we will take a position on the Asian Handicap +0.75 for TOP Oss, which can also be found at some bookmakers as "Asian Handicap +0.5, +1.0." This way, we win the bet if the home team wins or if the match ends in a draw, and we will also get half of our stake back if the visitors win by 1 goal.
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Preview
TOP Oss and ADO meet at Frans Heesen Stadion, in a match for the 9th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eerste Divisie, on 02‑02‑2024, ADO Den Haag won by (1‑3). Konstantinos Doumtsios (44' ) scored for TOP Oss and Kürşad Sürmeli (13' ), Henk Veerman (28' ) and J. van der Sande (36' ) for ADO. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 16th and 15th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 6th best team in home matches and the 17th best in away matches.

Analysis TOP Oss

TOP Oss is currently in 16th place, with 8 points earned from 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to FC Eindhoven (0-4). In their last match, they drew away against MVV Maastricht (2-2). This is a team that performs better at home, having collected 6 points at their stadium compared to just 1 point in their away games. In the league, TOP Oss has secured 6 points out of a possible 12, with 2 wins and 2 losses in their last 4 home matches.
 
In this competition, they have not won any of their last 5 matches. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 6 of the last 8 matches they've played in this competition, indicating they haven't been very strong defensively. This is a team that rarely scores first, having only managed to open the scoring in 2 of their last 8 Eerste Divisie games; of those 2, they went into halftime ahead in 1 and won in the end in 1. In 8 matches in this competition, they have only managed 1 comeback after falling behind in the 5 games where they conceded the first goal.
 
The poor campaign of TOP Oss and their winless streak can easily be justified by the numbers. The team has the worst attack in the league with just 6 goals scored, as they have the second-worst average possession (42.9%). The club is also the worst finisher, averaging 10.3 shots per game and only 3.4 shots on target. Coach Sjors Ultee will rely on the medical department to determine whether he will repeat the last starting lineup, based on a 4-3-3 tactical system. Midfielder Marcelencio Esajas left the last match injured in the final minutes. If he is ruled out by the medical staff, the tendency is for Tom van der Werff to replace him. Left winger Karim Loukili is the standout player in the squad, but he has yet to contribute directly to any goals.

Confirmed Lineup: Mike Havekotte , Julian Kuijpers, Jules Van Bost, Xander Lambrix, Giovanni Troupée, Marcelencio Esajas, Giovanni Korte, Abel Stensrud, Karim Loukili, Arthur Allemeersch, Mauresmo Hinoke.
Coach: R. Brood.

Analysis ADO

After 1 win, 5 draws, and 2 losses, ADO is currently in 14th place, having earned 8 points. In their last match, they drew 1-1 at home against Jong Utrecht, following another home draw against Telstar, also 1-1. The team is stronger at home, where they have accumulated 5 points compared to just 2 from their away games. In their last 10 matches across all competitions, ADO has won 3, drawn 4, and lost 3. Their defensive solidity has not been a strong point, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 8 matches. However, their attack has been consistently scoring, netting goals in 6 of their last 8 matches in this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their away games, with 21 of their last 23 matches ending with over 1.5 goals.
 
ADO is still seeking their first away victory after 2 draws and 1 loss on the road. With this performance, the team ranks as the third-worst away team and also has the third-worst away attack, having scored only 3 goals in away matches. They are the most foul-prone team in the league, averaging 14.5 fouls committed per match. Bosnian coach Darije Kalezić may repeat his last starting lineup, based on a 4-2-3-1 tactical formation, as his only absentee is midfielder Kürsad Sürmeli, who has been injured since the 2nd round and was primarily a substitute. The standout player in the squad is right winger Daryl van Mieghem, who has scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists in 8 appearances.

Confirmed Lineup: Kilian Nikièma, Sekou Sylla, Milan Hokke, Steven van der Sloot, Diogo Tomas, Juho Kilo, Jari Vlak, Daryl van Mieghem, Lee Bonis, Joel Ideho, Alex Schalk.
Coach: R. Brood.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the TOP Oss vs ADO match, on 4 October 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Asian Handicap, TOP Oss +0.5, +1.0. ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The TOP Oss vs ADO on 4 October 2024 will be played at Oss, Frans Heesen Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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