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PSV II Ajax II betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

One of the country's biggest classics is also about to happen with the reserve teams in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024. Jong PSV and Jong Ajax have similar campaigns in the competition and have similar characteristics such as the search for ball possession, although both defenses are highly vulnerable, resulting in many problems. Despite the coincidences, the teams are at different times. Jong PSV has not won in the last 5 rounds and has only 1 point in the period while Jong Ajax has 6 rounds of unbeaten record, with 4 wins and 2 draws, although they have not yet managed to win away from home. If in the last classics between the main teams of the institutions the advantage belongs to PSV, among the reserve teams Jong Ajax maintains a taboo of 3 unbeaten games with 2 games won under their control, including the most recent direct confrontation, in 17-04-2023, when they won by (5-4), and 1 draw by (2-2) at Jong PSV, held exactly 1 year before this new match, that is, on 15-12-2022. Considering all these aspects, we will bet on Jong PSV to score more than 1.5 goals in this great classic.
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Preview
PSV II and Ajax meet at Sportcomplex De Herdgang, in a match for the 19th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 head‑to‑heads. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eerste Divisie, was on 15‑12‑2022, they tied (2‑2). Mylian Jiménez (74' ) and Mathijs Tielemans (52' ) scored for PSV II and Jaydon Amauri Banel (39' ) and Silvano Cliff Robbie Vos (58' ) for Ajax. Ajax registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis PSV II

After 5 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses, the home team is in the 17th position, havinf won 17 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Roda JC Kerkrade by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑5) at home, against NAC Breda. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 35 conceded; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. In the last 9 home league matches PSV II has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 27 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 losses in the last home matches and they haven't won any of the last 7 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Jong PSV comes for this classic of reserve teams with the possibility of equaling rival Jong Ajax on points. However, the team has gone through 5 rounds without a win and has only scored 1 point and scored just 2 goals in the period. Playing at home, there are an impressive 5 consecutive defeats and 7 duels without winning, with again 1 point won in the last 21 matches played as home team. Thus, Jong PSV is not only the worst reserve team in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024, but also the second worst home club, owner of the worst defense in the championship and even the worst home defense, although it is the team with the most ball possession in the competition with an average of exactly 55% of the game time in control of the ball per round. Coach Willy Boessen has a problem defining his starting lineup: goalkeeper Nick Schiks was sent off with a straight red card for destroying a clear scoring opportunity in the last round. His likely replacement is Belgian Kjell Peersman. Striker Jason van Duiven, scorer of 6 goals in the league and third best finisher in the competition with a rate of 1.4 correct shots towards goal per performance, is the team's big bet to triumph in this classic.

Confirmed Lineup: Joël Drommel, Emmanuel van de Blaak, Reda El Meliani, Fredrik Oppegård, Matteo Dams, Mohamed Nassoh, Tygo Land, Mylian Jiménez, Isaac Babadi, Tai Abed, Jesper Uneken.
Coach: A. Groenendijk.

Analysis Ajax

The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against FC Den Bosch, by (3‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against Jong Utrecht, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 40 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Ajax has a record of 2 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 27 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 9 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Jong Ajax comes for this classic after 6 rounds of unbeaten streak with 4 wins and 2 draws in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024. Away from home, however, Jong Ajax is having one of the worst campaigns and has still failed to win after 9 away matches. At least the team managed to draw the last 2 away matches after 7 consecutive defeats in their first experiences. Defensive vulnerability draws attention especially in this field control condition as Jong Ajax has the second worst defense in the championship, but the worst visiting defense in the division. All this, interestingly, with the second highest average possession in the league. Coach Dave Vos has no known absences and will be able to repeat his starting line-up, with emphasis on Tom de Graaff in place of Charlie Setford, the most leaked goalkeeper in this Eerste Divisie with 2.1 goals conceded per performance although he is also the one who made the most saves with a rate of 4.3 balls defended per round. However, there is also an expectation to decide whether or not midfielder Gabriel Misehouy will start, the second highest finisher in the championship with an average of 3.6 shots per game, who in the last round came off the bench to replace Olaf Gorter.

Confirmed Lineup: Tom de Graaff, Raphaël Sarfo, Anass Salah-Eddine, Olivier Aertssen, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Oualid Agougil, J. Brandes, Stanis Idumbo , D. Kalokoh, Amourricho Van Axel-Dongen, Jaydon Banel.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the PSV II vs Ajax match, on 15 December 2023, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: PSV II to score over 1,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The PSV II vs Ajax on 15 December 2023 will be played at Eindhoven, Sportcomplex De Herdgang.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Kenya, for the PSV II Ajax match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Ajax at with 60% of the tips.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2023/2024

  • 100% 379 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.65%
  • Draws 25.07%
  • Away team wins 29.29%
  • Over 1.5 82.32%
  • Over 2.5 60.16%
  • Over 3.5 35.36%
  • Goals 1155
  • Goals /match 3.05
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.35
  • Both teams score 60.16%
  • Goals after 80' 17.23%
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