Ajax II PSV II betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

More than just a head-to-head that will determine who will finish bottom of the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025, this will be a derby of reserve teams. As Jong Ajax and Jong PSV have no objective in the competition due to the regulations that prevent reserve teams from competing for access to the elite, we can say that the matches between them are always the most important matches of the season for both. We're betting on Under 3.5 Goals because we're expecting a very tight encounter and especially because it's been a winning start in 9 of the 10 matches Jong Ajax have played at home and also in 8 of the 11 matches Jong PSV have played away from home.
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Preview
Ajax and PSV II meet at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 22th round of the Eerste Divisie. These teams have tied (2‑2) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 12‑08‑2024. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 15‑03‑2024, in a match for the Eerste Divisie, Jong Ajax won by (3‑0). The goals of the match were scored by Julian Rijkhoff (28' and 47' ) and David Kalokoh (19' ) for Ajax. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Ajax

After 5 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 21 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Jong AZ by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have won (3‑1) at home, against Roda JC Kerkrade. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Ajax has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 5 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 21 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Jong Ajax is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie just to give experience to young players who are being groomed to join Ajax's main squad for the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. Even so, the club stands out for having the best defense among the home sides (7 goals conceded in 10 games, an average of 0.7 goals conceded per home game) and this has been key to Jong Ajax winning the last 3 matches played at their stadium. Another of the team's characteristics is that they allow their opponents to keep the ball calmly, as Jong Ajax are the third least fouled team (average of 10.9 fouls committed per matchday). Coach Frank Peereboom has doubts as to whether he'll repeat his starting line-up from last season, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical formation: midfielder Gerald Alders and midfielder Sean Steur were injured in the last game. If they are ruled out by the club's medical department, they will be replaced by Rayane Bounida and Rico Speksnijder respectively. The highlights of the Jong Ajax squad are Englishman Charlie Setford (the league's second-best goalkeeper with an average of 5.2 saves per appearance) and especially left winger Jaydon Banel (the second-highest finisher and also the player with the second-most shots on goal with rates of 4.2 shots and 1.6 shots on goal per match played).

Confirmed Lineup: Paul Peters Reverson, Nick Verschuren, Gerald Alders, Lucas Jetten, Dies Janse, Kristian Hlynsson, Rayane Bounida, Nassef Chourak, Sivert Mannsverk, Sean Steur, Julian Rijkhoff.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

Analysis PSV II

The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Vitesse, by (6‑4). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Telstar, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 33 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches PSV II has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 21 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Jong PSV is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie with the sole aim of giving experience to young players who are being groomed to join PSV Eindhoven's main squad for the Eredivisie and other competitions. Even so, it's shameful for the club to be ranked as the second worst defense in the league (40 goals conceded in 21 games, an average of 1.9 goals conceded per game) while curiously having the third best possession rate (55.3%). Coach Alfons Groenendijk could repeat his starting line-up, based on a 4-2-3-1 tactical formation, with Niek Schiks (the goalkeeper with the most saves in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 with an average of 5.7 saves per appearance) and Israeli attacking midfielder Tay Abed Kassus (the league's third top scorer with 11 goals in 21 games) standing out. The absentees have been defender Adamo Nagalo, out with a shoulder injury since October, and midfielder Isaac Babadi, also injured since November.

Confirmed Lineup: Roy Johannes Maria Steur, Samuel Gomez van Hoogen, Emmanuel van de Blaak, Muhlis Dağaşan, Matteo Dams, Emir Bars, Jordy Bawuah, Dantaye Gilbert, Joel Tshisanga Ndala, Esmir Bajraktarevic, Jesper Uneken.
Coach: A. Groenendijk.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ajax vs PSV II match, on 20 January 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Under 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Ajax vs PSV II on 20 January 2025 will be played at Amsterdam, Sportpark De Toekomst.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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