Ajax II MVV betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This is a bout between teams that have defensive problems. Jong Ajax is on a streak of 10 winless matches while MVV hasn't won in the last 6 away matches. The expectation is for a match with scoring opportunities for both sides, but even so, a duel with Under 4 Goals is expected, within the average of the Eerste Divisie 22/23, which is exactly 3 goals per match, and following a 67% probability of Jong Ajax home matches and 58% probability of MVV away matches with 3 goals or less.
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Preview
Ajax and MVV face at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 25th round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 16‑09‑2022, MVV Maastricht got a home win by (4‑1). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 27‑09‑2021, in a match for the Eerste Divisie, Jong Ajax won by (3‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Danilo (60' and 33' ) and N. Unuvar (45' ), for Ajax, and by O. Dzepar (90' ), for MVV. Although this is a match between 17th and 7th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 17th best in home matches and the 14th best in away matches.

Analysis Ajax

After 5 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 17th position, havinf won 25 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against FC Den Bosch by (4‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (0‑0) at home, against PEC Zwolle. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 11 points in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 27 conceded, against 14 points won at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Ajax has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible.

They haven’t won any of the last 8 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 12 of their 24 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

Jong Ajax failed to win in the last 10 matches and is the third team that conceded the most goals in this Eerste Divisie 22/23 with 43 goals conceded in 24 rounds played. However, when playing at home, the defense is a little more solid, with 16 goals conceded in 12 matches, and the offense is a little more efficient with 22 goals scored. These numbers mean that the average number of goals in Jong Ajax's home matches is 3.17 goals per match, with 92% of occurrences of Over 0.5 Goals, 83% of records of Over 1.5 Goals and 58% of matches with Over 2.5 Goals. Jong Ajax's last victory was away from home, on 11-04-2022, by 3-4 against Dordrecht. At home, the last time the team won was on 09-12-2022, by 3-1 against NAC Breda. Despite being in the last positions of the championship, Jong Ajax tries to impose its proactive style of play with an average of 62.6% of ball possession per match, the best index in the league. However, defensively it is the team with the lowest number of interceptions, with an average of 8.2 balls intercepted per match, and it has difficulties to contain the opponents, being the team that commits the fewest fouls (with 8.3 fouls committed per match) and the second team that less was punished with a card (with 33 yellow cards received). Jong Ajax, together with Jong PSV, have the worst number of clean sheets in this Eerste Divisie 22/23, as the team only kept clean sheets in 2 matches this season, including the last home match in the goalless draw against Zwolle. In the last match, against Den Bosch, defender Donny Warmerdam received the 5th yellow card and is now suspended against MVV.
 

 


 

Confirmed Lineup: C. Setford, Olivier Aertssen, Youri Baas, Tristan Gooijer, Kristian Hlynsson, Youri Regeer, Silvano Cliff Robbie Vos, Kian Fitz-Jim, Lorenzo Lucca, A. Van Axel Dongen, Francisco Conceição.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

Analysis MVV

The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 38 points won, after 11 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against TOP Oss, by (5‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Heracles Almelo, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 11 points in away matches and 27 points at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 13 goals conceded at home, against 16 goals scored and 28 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches MVV has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 10 of the last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

MVV has the third best attack in the Eerste Divisie 22/23, with 46 goals scored in 24 rounds played, but also owns the second most beaten defense away from home, with 28 goals conceded in 12 matches played. The last time it did not concede a goal as a visitor was on 10-28-2022, when it beat Zwolle by 0-1. The average number of goals in MVV away matches is 3.67 goals per match, with 100% occurrence of Over 0.5 Goals and 83% of records of both Over 1.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals . Also considering the home matches, MVV has 8 straight matches conceding goals, with the last clean sheet being in the home win, by 1-0, against Almere, on 11-19-2022. Interestingly, the team is the best in interceptions in the league, with an average of 14 interceptions per match, but it is also the second worst for tackling, with a rate of 15.3 tackles per match. In defence, Romain Matthys stands out, the goalkeeper who defended the most balls in the league with an average of 4.5 defenses per match, and defender Rein Van Helden, third best in the competition in intercepted balls with 2.5 interceptions per match. In the offense, MVV relies a lot on Koen Kostons, who occupies second place in the assist rankings and also in direct participation in goals in this Eerste Divisie, with 12 assists and 7 goals in 23 matches he played. Jarne Steysckers is another important striker on the team, appearing as the third best in the league in assists with 8 passes for goals (in addition to the 6 goals he scored in the 22 matches he played).
 
 

Confirmed Lineup: Romain Matthys, Leroy Labylle, Matteo Waem, Clint Essers, Marko Kleinen, Orhan Dzepar, Nicky Souren, Koen Kostons, Jarne Steuckers, Mart Remans, Sven Blummel.
Coach: K. Wels.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ajax vs MVV match, on 20 February 2023, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Handicap, Under 4 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Ajax vs MVV on 20 February 2023 will be played at Amsterdam, Sportpark De Toekomst.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Kenya, for the Ajax MVV match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Ajax at with 70% of the tips.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2022/2023

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 46.58%
  • Draws 20.79%
  • Away team wins 32.63%
  • Over 1.5 79.74%
  • Over 2.5 59.47%
  • Over 3.5 35.79%
  • Goals 1166
  • Goals /match 3.07
  • Goals /match home 1.76
  • Goals /match away 1.31
  • Both teams score 57.37%
  • Goals after 80' 17.24%
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