Ajax II Excelsior betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a very important clash for Excelsior, who will be able to take advantage of the defeat that leaders Volendam suffered in this round to move 1 point behind the leadership of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie. Even though Jong Ajax has the best home defense and a record of 4 wins in the most recent duels at their stadium, we will bet on Excelsior to win this game as they are a very balanced team that has the best defense in the league and also the third best attack. The difference between the teams was already evident in the last direct confrontation, valid for the first round of this season, on 11/29/2024, when Excelsior won (2-0) at home.
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Preview
Ajax and Excelsior face at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 25th round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 29‑11‑2024, Excelsior got a home win by (2‑0). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 head‑to‑heads. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, on 27‑08‑2021, for the Eerste Divisie, Excelsior won by (1‑2). Kenneth Taylor (89' ) scored for Ajax and Redouan El Yaakoubi (49' ) and Marouan Azarkan (76' ) for Excelsior. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 17th and 2nd of the league table, it’s also a match between the 14th best team in home matches and the 7th best in away matches.

Analysis Ajax

The home team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 24 points won, after 6 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Jong PSV, by (4‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Telstar, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 15 points, against only 9 points in away matches. For the league, Ajax won 14 points out of 30 possible points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches.

They have won the last 4 home matches for this competition. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 5 of the last 11 for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

Jong Ajax is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie only to give experience to young players who are being prepared to permanently join the Ajax main squad in the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. Even so, the club stands out for having the best defense among the home teams (7 goals conceded in 11 matches, that is, an average of 0.6 goals conceded per match at home) despite being the third least foul-prone team in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie (exact rate of 11 fouls committed per match). Coach Frank Peereboom may repeat the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme, as long as left-back Lucas Jetten is cleared by the doctors since he was injured in the final minutes of the last game. Even so, Englishman Charlie Setford is expected to return to the starting lineup as he is the second goalkeeper who makes the most saves in the championship (average of 5.2 saves made per match).

Confirmed Lineup: C. Setford, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Ryan van de Pavert, Nick Verschuren, Dies Janse, Sean Steur, Rayane Bounida, Mark Thomas Willem Verkuijl, Jan Faberski, Nassef Chourak, Julian Rijkhoff.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

Analysis Excelsior

The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 45 points won, after 13 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against ADO Den Haag, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Vitesse, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 17 points in away matches and 28 points at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 11 goals conceded at home, against 18 goals scored and 13 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Excelsior has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 12 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Excelsior have a chance to finish 1 point behind leaders Volendam, but the problem is that the team has not managed to win in the last 3 away matches (2 draws and 1 loss). The team has the third best attack in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie (42 goals scored in 24 rounds, that is, an average of 1.7 goals per match) and its strongest point is its defense, the best in the championship (24 goals conceded in total, of which 13 were conceded in 12 away matches). Excelsior is the second highest scorer in the competition (16.1 shots per round) while also boasting the second highest clean sheets record (they have kept 10 clean sheets). Coach Ruben den Uil could repeat the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme, with a highlight on Calvin Raatsie, who is the goalkeeper who has conceded the fewest goals (average of 0.9 goals conceded as he has conceded 20 goals in the 22 games he has played) and has also been in all the clean sheets recorded by the team (10 in total). The absences have been midfielders Lennard Hartjes, injured since 10-01-2025, and Belgian Xander Blomme, injured since the 3rd round that was held on 25-08-2024.

Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Ilias Bronkhorst, Arthur Zagre, Kik Pierie, Casper Widell, Cedric Hatenboer, Joshua Eijgenraam, Jacky Donkor, Seydou Fini, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Richie Omorowa.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ajax vs Excelsior match, on 10 February 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Excelsior wins ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Ajax vs Excelsior on 10 February 2025 will be played at Amsterdam, Sportpark De Toekomst.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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