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AFC Bournemouth Swansea City betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This confrontation must be very busy, considering that the two teams need the victory to move away from the relegation zone. Bournemouth have an efficient attack that they regularly score but their defense is the second most leaked of the Premier League, while Swansea has a reasonable offensive system and has the most leaked defensive system of the national. Given these factors, we believe in an open game where the attacks must overlap the defenses and we must have several goals on the scoreboard.
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Preview
AFC Bournemouth and Swansea City face at Vitality Stadium, in a match for the 29th round of the Premier League. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 31‑12‑2016, AFC Bournemouth got an away win by (0‑3). The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 4 matches they won 3 and tied 1. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Bournemouth

The home team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 8 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Manchester United, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against West Ham United, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches AFC Bournemouth has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Bournemouth have played poorly in the Premier League and is in the bottom half of the qualifying table with 36% of the points played so far and it is worth mentioning that they have 6 points ahead of Hull City, the first team in the relegation zone, so they need to score more regularly to avoid any chance of a downhill at the end of the season. The team scored 40 goals, being the seventh best attack of the competition, and conceded 54 goals, having the second defense more leaked and these figures demonstrate the great imbalance between the offensive and defensive sectors, being necessary to adjust defensively to suffer less goals, since that the attack has behaved in a satisfactory manner. Acting in their stadium, as this match on Saturday, Bournemouth has taken advantage of 50% and averages of 1.71 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded, which shows that in games as a visitor the scores are usually high. Overall, the team tends to score more often in the second half as 23 of their 30 goals came in the second stage, especially in the 75-90 minutes with 11 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: Artur Boruc, Charlie Daniels, Steve Cook, Simon Francis, Adam Smith, Ryan Fraser, Andrew Surman, Dan Gosling, Marc Pugh, Joshua King, Benik Afobe.
Coach: G. O'Neil.

Analysis Swansea

The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 27 points won, after 8 wins, 3 draws and 17 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Burnley, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Hull City, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 34 conceded; against 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Swansea City has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 11 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Swansea City has been playing poorly in the English Championship and is at the bottom of the qualifying table with only 32% and it is worth mentioning that it is only 3 points from the relegation zone, so it is necessary to score more regularly in this final stretch to avoid the decline at the end of the season. The team scored 36 goals, having the tenth best attack of the competition, and conceded 61 goals, with the defense more leaked and these figures show that the biggest problem has been the defensive system that is quite fragile and concedes goals regularly. Playing away from home, as their match on Saturday, Swansea City have only a 24% advantage and averages of 1.07 goals scored and 2.21 goals conceded, which shows once again the team's defensive weakness. Overall, the team tends to score more often in the second half as 26 of their 36 goals took place in the second stage, especially in the 75-90 minutes with 11 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: Łukasz Fabiański, Alfie Mawson, Federico Fernández, Stephen Kingsley, Tom Carroll, Jack Cork, Leroy Fer, Ki Sung-Yeung, Gylfi Sigurðsson, Jordan Ayew, Fernando Llorente.
Coach: R. Martin.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Bournemouth vs Swansea match, on 18 March 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Bournemouth vs Swansea on 18 March 2017 will be played at Bournemouth, Vitality Stadium.

 

Premier League - 2016/2017

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 49.21%
  • Draws 22.11%
  • Away team wins 28.68%
  • Over 1.5 77.37%
  • Over 2.5 54.21%
  • Over 3.5 32.37%
  • Goals 1064
  • Goals /match 2.8
  • Goals /match home 1.6
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 50.79%
  • Goals after 80' 17.76%
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