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What is behind the fair odd calculation

To arrive at the fair odd, be it an Over/Under or on a 1X2 market, we must take into account everything that is relevant to that match: tables and pre-live statistical indicators, news or other psychological, less measurable factors of the teams and match.

Profitability of a trade depending on the value of the odd

Did you know it is different to win a 1 tick trade of 1,01 to 1,02 than to win a 1 tick trade of 1.51 to 1.52?

By always trading to win only 1 tick, you will have different profits depending on the direction of the trade (raise or fall) and the odd (high or low) at which you opened the trade.

Useful formulas for Sports Betting Trading

There are some useful formulas than a trader should know, if for no other reason, to demystify a little the Sports Betting Trading world. There is no secret to winning money with odd variations and it´s not a dark science.

Trading pre-live periods

Prelive trading can be divided in two steps:
- Until one hour before the game starts the odds respect the correlations and we can predict its movement;
- In the hour that precedes the starting of the game there are an increase in liquidity and the movement of the odds are more determined by the market, its movement is also less predictable;

Difference between high odds and valuable odds

There bets worthy with high odds, but there is also worthy bets with low odds.

We should seek bets with value.
A high odd doesn't mean that it's a worthy odd.
 
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