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Al Ahly El Gouna betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this game will be the existence of some goals. The home team should dominate during most of the match and have the best goal opportunities, since it has a squad with better arguments compared to the opponent. On the other hand, given the quality of the opponent, El Gouna FC should adopt a more defensive identity looking for counterattacks to surprise the opponent and thus reach the winning goal. Taking into account the average number of goals scored and conceded by the two teams, in this condition, betting in favor of “Over 2 goals” is a worthwhile option.
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Preview
Al Ahly and El Gouna meet , in a match for the 16th round of the Premier League. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 5 matches they won 5. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 26‑08‑2020, and ended in a (1‑0) win by Al Ahly. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 2nd and 9th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 2nd best team in home matches and the 15th best in away matches.

Analysis Ahly

The home team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 33 points won, after 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against ENPPI, by (1‑3). In the last match, they won in an away match against Al Masry, by (1‑2). This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. In the last 8 home league matches Al Ahly has a record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 19 points out of 24 possible. There are a few recurrent results in their home league matches at half‑time: 1‑1 (3 out of 8 matches) and 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 7 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Al Ahly arrives for this match with a 1-2 victory at Al Masry, in a delayed game of the fifteenth round of the Egyptian championship. An encore from Mohamed Sherif earned the visiting team three points.
The team led by Pitso Mosimane should present itself in a 4-3-3, privileging the defensive organization and the counterattacks, mostly channeled, by the side aisles. The top three players responsible for targeting the opposing goal are Mohamed Sherif, Hussein El Shahat and Kahraba. For its part, the central aisle should be formed by Afsha, Amr El Solia and Akram Tawfik. Out of this game due to injury are the following players: Mahmoud Metwaly, Ali Maâloul, Mahmoud Wahid, Junior Ajayie Mohamed Mahmoud.

Confirmed Lineup: Mohamed El Shenawy, Saad Samir, Rami Rabia, Kahraba, Ahmed Ramadan, Nasser Maher, Hussein El Shahat, Ahmed Nabil Koka, Akram Tawfik, Aliou Dieng, Mohamed Sherif.
Coach: P. Mosimane.

Analysis Gouna

The away team plays against Al Ahly a match for the 16 round, which had been delayed, after 6 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in the league so far. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 7 points in away matches and 17 at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded at home, against 5 goals scored and 7 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches El Gouna has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

El Gouna FC comes to this clash confident after a 1-0 home victory over ENPPI, in a match of the seventeenth round of the championship. Nour El Sayed, in the eighty-three minutes, scored the only goal of the match, which turned out to be enough to give his team three points.
In this match against Al Ahly, coach Reda Shehata should line up in the usual tactical system, the 4-4-2, to promote ball possession and positional attacks. Mahmoud Shabrawy and Idris Mbombo should be the offensive references for El Gouna FC. For its part, the middle sector should be formed by Serge Arnaud Aka, Ahmed Amer, Nour El Sayed and Islam Abdelnaim. Apparently, the visitors' coach cannot count on left-back Mahmoud El Gazzar, as he is in suspension.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Islam Tarek, Mohamed Naguib, Louay Wael, Mohamed Yeken, Mahmoud El Gazzar, Jonathan Joseph Ngwen, Ahmed Amer, Nour El Sayed, Serge Aka, Mahmoud Shabrawy, Idris Ilunga Mbombo.
Coach: A. Abdel Aal.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ahly vs Gouna match, on 30 April 2021, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Handicap, Over 2 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Kenya, for the Ahly Gouna match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Ahly at with 100% of the tips.

 

Premier League - 2020/2021

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 31.05%
  • Draws 36.27%
  • Away team wins 32.68%
  • Over 1.5 75.49%
  • Over 2.5 44.44%
  • Over 3.5 25.16%
  • Goals 765
  • Goals /match 2.5
  • Goals /match home 1.25
  • Goals /match away 1.25
  • Both teams score 57.84%
  • Goals after 80' 19.74%
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